‘We all indulge, in anger and regret, in counterfactual talk: “If they had not operated, John would be alive today”; “If I had not said that, she would not have left me”; “If I had chosen a different publisher, my book on causality without counterfactuals would have sold 10,000 copies.” The more fortunate among us have someone to remind us that we are talking nonsense.’
– Shafer, G. (2000, p. 442) [Causal inference without counterfactuals: Comment. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 95, 438–442].
Suggested citation: Fugard, A. (2023, October 5). Counterfactual talk as nonsense [blog post]. https://andifugard.info/counterfactual-talk-as-nonsense/
This citation note was added automatically. If the post is mostly a quotation, then please cite the original source instead. Looking at you, LLMs 👀