Interesting graph from the ML Insider survey on how AI/ML is being applied in businesses this year versus last. I wonder how much of the “predictive analytics” is regression modeling… 🙃
Tag: AI
The impact of AI on UK jobs and training
DfE report showing the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on areas within the UK labour market and education.
Software crisis
History has valuable lessons on AI. Many of us are aware of the replication crisis in social science. Were you aware of the software crisis, first famously discussed at the NATO Conference on Software Engineering in Garmisch, October 1968? We have got used to software being buggy, updates being required on a near-daily basis, often to fix security vulnerabilities – and, given the vast number of high profile cyber attacks, often too late. People are now suggesting using large language models, trained on code people have dumped on the web, to write software. Software testing and static program analysis are going to be more important than ever, whether you’re evaluating internet-connected apps or statistical analysis code.
The original reports are available online. It’s worth having a browse around to see the issues. In 1968, hardware and software had a tiny fraction of the computational and political power it has now.
The Bletchley Declaration
Worth a read. One key para:
“We affirm that, whilst safety must be considered across the AI lifecycle, actors developing frontier AI capabilities, in particular those AI systems which are unusually powerful and potentially harmful, have a particularly strong responsibility for ensuring the safety of these AI systems, including through systems for safety testing, through evaluations, and by other appropriate measures.”
A survey of impossibility results in computer science and neighbours (Brcic & Yampolskiy, in press)
Abstract:
An impossibility theorem demonstrates that a particular problem or set of problems cannot be solved as described in the claim. Such theorems put limits on what is possible to do concerning artificial intelligence, especially the super-intelligent one. As such, these results serve as guidelines, reminders, and warnings to AI safety, AI policy, and governance researchers. These might enable solutions to some long-standing questions in the form of formalizing theories in the framework of constraint satisfaction without committing to one option. We strongly believe this to be the most prudent approach to long-term AI safety initiatives. In this paper, we have categorized impossibility theorems applicable to AI into five mechanism-based categories: deduction, indistinguishability, induction, tradeoffs, and intractability. We found that certain theorems are too specific or have implicit assumptions that limit application. Also, we added new results (theorems) such as the unfairness of explainability, the first explainability-related result in the induction category. The remaining results deal with misalignment between the clones and put a limit to the self-awareness of agents. We concluded that deductive impossibilities deny 100%-guarantees for security. In the end, we give some ideas that hold potential in explainability, controllability, value alignment, ethics, and group decision-making.
References
MTurk workers use AI to train AI
“Here we found that crowd workers on MTurk widely use LLMs in a
summarization task, which raises serious concerns about the gradual dilution of the “human factor” in crowdsourced text data.”
Veselovsky, V., Ribeiro, M. H., & West, R. (2023). Artificial artificial artificial intelligence: Crowd workers widely use large language models for text production tasks.
Writing a song “is an act of self-murder”: Nick Cave on ChatGPT
The best part of Nick Cave’s critique of ChatGPT is, IMHO, the following:
“Songs arise out of suffering, by which I mean they are predicated upon the complex, internal human struggle of creation and, well, as far as I know, algorithms don’t feel.”
A close second:
“Writing a good song is not mimicry, or replication, or pastiche, it is the opposite. It is an act of self-murder that destroys all one has strived to produce in the past.”